featured matchups — week 7

Top games ranked by model confidence and market edge

FLAFlorida
@Sat Oct 17 · 12 PM ET
TexasTEX
23%win probability77%
Model spreadTEX -6.0
Vegas lineTEX -9.5
Model total51.6
3.5 edge
AUBAuburn
@Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
GeorgiaUGA
10%win probability90%
Model spreadUGA -19.9
Vegas lineUGA -16.5
Model total51.1
3.4 edge

All games — week 7

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FLAFlorida@TexasTEX
77%TEX -6.0
AUBAuburn@GeorgiaUGA
90%UGA -19.9
NDNotre Dame@BYUBYU
50%BYU -0.3
FSUFlorida State@MiamiMIA
87%MIA -16.2
OSUOhio State@IndianaIU
50%IU -4.6
ALAAlabama@TennesseeTENN
66%ALA -0.3
MIZMissouri@Ole MissMISS
58%MISS -6.7
ASUArizona State@Texas TechTTU
81%TTU -8.7
UTAHUtah@ColoradoCOLO
78%UTAH -8.4

Model performance

2026 season

Win accuracy

78.7%

ATS record

200–255

Brier score

0.142

Margin error

16.7 pts

ATS accuracy44.0%
Breakeven52.4%

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